INPI publishes study on the Economic Scenario of Intellectual Property in Brazil with projections through 2030

INPI publishes study on the Economic Scenario of Intellectual Property in Brazil with projections through 2030

On April 15, 2026, the Brazilian Patent and Trademark Office (BPTO) published the study Economic Scenario of Intellectual Property in Brazil, prepared by the General Coordination for Economics and Innovation (CGEI). The report analyzes the relationship between the Brazilian economic environment and industrial property filings between 2016 and 2030, indicating how variations in GDP, inflation, and exchange rates have influenced the demand for patents, trademarks, industrial designs, and computer programs. The study is structured in two parts: a retrospective analysis (2016–2025) and a prospective analysis (2026–2030), including projections for the filing of these assets based on econometric models and market expectations.

In the retrospective period (2016–2025), the study identifies three cycles in the Brazilian economy. Between 2016 and 2019, there was a “post-recession recovery,” with average GDP growth of approximately 1.4% per year. Between 2020 and 2022, the “pandemic shock” occurred, marked by a 3.3% contraction in GDP in 2020, followed by a recovery in 2021 (4.8%) and high volatility. Between 2023 and 2025, a phase of “expansion with deceleration” was observed, driven by the services and agricultural sectors, but with lower GDP growth toward the end of the period (2.3% in 2025).

With regard to industrial property assets, still within the retrospective analysis, the study indicates that each of them responded differently to economic fluctuations. Patent applications remained relatively stable, with growth concentrated in areas such as biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, chemistry, and information technology. Grants increased from 2016 onward due to the rebuilding of BPTO’s technical workforce and the Backlog Reduction Program, intensified in 2020 with effects extending through 2021. In the case of trademarks, demand increased due to the expansion of e-commerce, the growth of the services sector, digitalization during the pandemic, and Brazil’s accession to the Madrid Protocol. Industrial designs closely followed the economic cycle, driven by sectors such as fashion and furniture. After the reduction of the backlog until 2022, a shift in trajectory occurred with the Hague Agreement, leading to an increase in filings and greater international integration. Registrations of computer programs showed continuous growth and were less dependent on economic fluctuations, driven by digitalization of the economy and the adoption of new technologies.

In the prospective analysis, the study relies on market expectations consolidated in the Central Bank of Brazil’s Focus Report. Projections indicate that, between 2026 and 2030, GDP growth will remain moderate, around 1.8% in the initial years, with a slight acceleration to 2.0% by the end of the period. Inflation (IPCA) is expected to converge toward the target—declining from approximately 4.0% in 2026 to around 3.5% between 2028 and 2030—while the exchange rate is projected to remain relatively depreciated.

In this context, projections for intellectual property assets between 2026 and 2030 indicate trajectories that differ from the 2021–2025 cycle. Patent filings are expected to accelerate, increasing from 1.8% to 3.0% annually and exceeding 34,000 applications by 2030, supported by ongoing technological strategies and a depreciated exchange rate. Trademark filings are expected to decelerate relative to the strong 11.9% growth observed in the previous period but still expand at an annual rate of 6.9%, surpassing 704,000 filings by the end of the period. Industrial designs are expected to remain relatively stable, with annual growth of 0.5% (a significant decline compared to the previous cycle’s average of 10.2%), reaching just over 10,000 filings. Computer program registrations are expected to remain the most dynamic category, with annual growth of 15.6% (compared to 19.7% between 2021 and 2025), reaching more than 14,800 filings by 2030.

Finally, the study contributes to a better understanding of the relationship between economic conditions and industrial property in Brazil. By integrating historical data and projections, it provides relevant insights for BPTO’s institutional planning, as well as for companies, researchers, and policymakers.

The full study can be accessed at: Economic Scenario of IP in Brazil

Note: For quick release, this English version is provided by automated translation without human review.